Ell looks at the surprising results in Tower Hamlets.
Author Archives: Leftie Stats
#LE2022 – The Great British Flop
Ell examines the 2022 local elections, and explains how Labour flopped
Starmer’s biggest test
Ell looks ahead to the 2022 local elections.
Northern Irish devolved elections: a summary
Ell looks at the history of elections in Northern Ireland.
Uncontested elections in the UK
Ell explores the history of unopposed contests in UK elections, and provides estimates for the popular vote.
Labour isn’t surging in the South
Ell looks at the May 2021 local election results, and examines how Labour is doing in Southern England.
The Burnham Effect
Ell looks at the Labour Mayors winning over Tory voters.
PCC election summary, 2021
Ell looks at the PCC elections that took place in May 2021.
Final 2021 estimates (devolved)
Ell’s final poll averages and seat estimates for the 2021 devolved elections.
Why isn’t Starmer 20pts ahead?
In this article, Ell explores the “20 points ahead” meme and tries to answer the question: why isn’t Labour 20pts ahead?