Uncategorized – Stats for Lefties

Tower Hamlets: how did Aspire win?

Ell looks at the surprising results in Tower Hamlets.

Ell examines the 2022 local elections, and explains how Labour flopped

Ell looks ahead to the 2022 local elections.

Ell looks at the history of elections in Northern Ireland.

Ell explores the history of unopposed contests in UK elections, and provides estimates for the popular vote.

Ell looks at the May 2021 local election results, and examines how Labour is doing in Southern England.

Ell looks at the Labour Mayors winning over Tory voters.

Ell looks at the PCC elections that took place in May 2021.

Ell’s final poll averages and seat estimates for the 2021 devolved elections.

In this article, Ell explores the “20 points ahead” meme and tries to answer the question: why isn’t Labour 20pts ahead?